Policy Memo

A Quarter Century of Union Decline, 2000 to 2025

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Published

April 9, 2026

Author

Rachel Greszler

Topline

For 75 years, unions have been in retreat. This report examines data over the past 25 years of continued decline. Right-to-work states that prohibit workers from being coerced into joining a union have higher job growth than states where employees can be forced to join the union. While some claim that unions are on the “comeback,” the reality is that union membership has declined and likely will not rise unless unions adapt their outdated models.

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Background

President Biden repeatedly promised to be the most pro-union President ever. His policies tipped the scales in favor of unions, but unionization reached a record low under his tenure. While unions were once widespread, they have failed to adapt their models to an increasingly merit-based, service-oriented, and globally competitive economy. For example, rigid seniority-based pay scales made sense in a 1950s factory, but they are less desirable among today’s more specialized and mobile workforce. Moreover, unions’ adversarial tactics pit workers against employers. But the reality is that both owners and employees share the same goals for success, and neither wants a hostile work environment.

Two things are for sure: workers want to have a voice in the workplace, and employers who fail to give workers a voice will fail to attract and retain the talent they need to maximize their success. Instead of forced unionization and forced representation, voluntary worker organization models could increase workers’ voices and improve workers’ and employers’ success.

Unionization Rates

Real Earnings Trends

Sector Trends in Unionization and Earnings

Demographic Trends

Right-To-Work States Have Higher Job Growth than Forced-Unionism States

How Unions Can Broaden Their Appeal

Bottom Line

Outside of government jobs, unionization in the U.S. remains at a record low. Though historically, union jobs tended to be higher-paying, non-union wages have increased faster than union wages in recent decades, and there is no clear correlation across sectors between changes in unionization rates and wage gains.

There is a clear correlation, however, between private sector job growth and right-to-work laws that give workers the choice between joining or not joining a union, with right-to-work states experiencing nearly twice as many private sector job gains as forced-unionism states. Union members have grown slightly younger, whiter, and more female.

The long-term decline in private sector unionization is unlikely to reverse course unless unions adapt to the modern workforce by offering voluntary membership and representation, less hostile employer relations, and more in-demand services.